Lunds Universitet Statsvetenskapliga institutionen STV403; HT1994 Supervisor: Harry Petersson (passed as scientific work on the "C-level" at the Institute of Political Science at Lund University on Feb 9 1995) "Wir sind das Volk" - Direct Democratic Trends in the New Germany Author: Malte Lewan --- Till minnet av Mormor under vars sista dagar uppsatsen skrevs Foer hjaelp med oeversaettningar, stort tack till Pappa --- Abstract There seems to be trends of direct democracy in all of Germany, but especially the eastern German Laender have introduced constitutions that are much based on popular lawmaking. This essay analyses to which degree the German Laender and communes have moved in that direction and the reason behind the moves. At the same time, it aims at giving a somewhat better understanding of the processes of direct democracy. The main reason of the trends appears to be the peaceful revolution in East Germany where the people, it is suggested, have the feeling of holding on to the power they had during the revolution days. A contributing fact, may have been the new constitution of Schleswig-Holstein in 1990, that was very progressive in terms of direct democratic elements. In itself, it was probably inspired by the developments in the East. At the foundation, the old German participatory traditions play their part in explaining today's interest in direct democracy. The trends are in western Germany mostly visible on the Land level, more than on the commune level. In eastern Germany, it's the other way around with the local participatory democracy considered very important. This essay also asks the question how much the founders of the German constitutions, when developing the popular institutions, have taken notice of theories that predicts much better economic performance in a direct democracy than in a strictly representative one. --- Contents 1. Introduction 1 1.1 Backround 1 1.2 Purpose and Aim 1 1.3 Material 2 1.4 Theory 2 1.5 Disposition 2 2. What is Direct Democracy? 3 3. Theories and Studies 5 3.1 A Social Contract 5 3.2 Public Choice Critisism 6 3.3 New Politic-Economic Thinking 11 3.4 Arrangements of Political Institutions 12 4. Participatory Traditions 15 5. The Laender 16 5.1 History and Development 16 5.2 Direct Democracy in West Today 17 5.3 The New Eastern Laender 19 5.4 Some Examples of German Development 20 5.4.1 Schleswig-Holstein and Niedersachsen 20 5.4.2 Brandenburg and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 21 6. Local Government 23 6.1 Size and Organisation 23 6.2 Direct Democracy in the Communes 24 6.3 Comparisons & Party Impact 25 6.4 Communal Reform 27 6.5 The New Eastern Communes 28 7. Conclusions and Summary 31 7.1 Limiting Direct Democracy 31 7.2 Some Final Analysis 31 7.3 Summary and Concluding Remarks 32 Notes 35 References 36 Appendix 38 --- 1. Introduction 1.1 Backround "Direkte Demokratie liegt im Trend", Degenhart starts off his essay (1992, p 77). He describes the experiences and developments of direct democracy in Germany. He is one of several authors investigating the interesting phenomena of direct democracy. To some, there will always be an attraction of the people making the laws themselves instead of representatives. There is a very non-elitistic appeal, especially in periods when trust in politicians is low. It is also sometimes an almost nationalistic fascination with the "people" on the same day going to the polls to decide how something is going to be for themselves. "Wir sind das Volk" was the East German legend during the revolutionary days in the fall of 1989. We see more and more examples in the world of important decisions that concern us all taken by referendum, among these the latest referenda in several countries concerning their relationship with the European Union. The author of this essay feels, just from observing world politics of today that, with the breakdown of communism in eastern Europe, interest partly appears to have shifted from sensitive top relations between countries towards lower level of politics and concepts like legitimacy and democratic participation. If somebody picks up a surveying politological book on Germany from the post-war period and compares it with one from today, he may see that in the old one, much of the text were devoted to the relations towards East Germany, but in the new one, that space has been filled with many other politic aspects. In this essay, I've studied one of these traits: direct democracy in Germany. Finding the best governmental system is an aim for almost any political culture. Few people are perfectly happy with the system they live in at any particular time or place. In a country like Germany, there is of course in some form, always a discussion of how to improve the system. The federal construction of the country makes comparison even more natural. One important characteristic that is searched for, is a system which creates favorable economic outcomes. There are also other ones. A system of popular participation in public decisions is one alternative for reformation that deserves to be studied. 1.2 Purpose and Aim The purpose of this essay is to examine the recent trends of direct democracy in the Land and commune levels in Germany. In the process, it's going to try create a somewhat more general understanding of the practise of direct democracy. Has there been a recent development towards the use of more direct democratic institutions in Germany? In that case, why? And what is its characteristics? Has there been a way of limiting it when makers of constitutions seen fit? Are the communal and Land trends following each other hand in hand or are there deviations? Are there any signs that notice has been taken of the extensive scientific discussions on the economic advantages of direct democracy? These are the questions I will try to answer. 1.3 Material The material I've been using is mostly literature on the subjects. It has been describing the history, the current rules and the processes. It has been legal works and economic works and of course politological works. I've used economic theories and normative political theories. Some primary sources have also been used, like for example constitutions and proposals for constitutions. I found the literature on German direct democratic trends limited, but in some ways maybe sufficient. It was necessary for it to be of late date and it was already a problem when it was from as early as 1992. I have very little information on what has happened in the last one or two years. One of the literary sources deserves commenting. It was Harding et al's "Legislatures and Regional Administrative Reform in the New German Laender" which was sent to me through internet. The authors are considering it for publication, but it isn't published yet. 1.4 Theory I have used much literature on the critical public choice view of the system of political competition. There are other views. For example, the neo-pluralist view could maybe have been worth examining, but the main purpose of this essay was not to examine the theories, it was to use particular points they have. I chose the public choice school. Also, in some areas, certain of the ideas I refer to, I've never seen challenged in a serious way. The authors meet no resistence yet, and don't even appear to have any opposing theories to attack. They don't seem to have any frame work or fixed points to gain help from. I'm then mostly thinking about the new politic-economic essays presented in ch 3.3. Theory and empiri are working together all to well. But furthermore, important for me is that the public choice writers often have a specific interest in direct democracy that is easy to apply. 1.5 Disposition I start by explaining the basic terms used in the language around direct democracy in chapter 2 and follow up by a presentation of the theories that are of interest and which constitute the first part in which the first terms are needed (ch 3). I then explain some of the pre-war history in chapter 4 and with the help of these first chapters start looking at the Laender and local governments' situation in chapter 5 and 6. There is a concluding chapter 7 in the end. 2. What is Direct Democracy? In this essay I will start by explaining some of the basic expressions used in connections to direct democratic institutions. These expressions will be used all the way through. They are mostly tools for explaining functions and trends we meet as we go along, but have a certain interest by themselves, and need to have, since they are so basic for the discussions. Direct democracy is many times defined as constituted by three parts: referendum, initiative and recall.1 That could in part be said to be the American perspective that has been exported, where it's very much possible that a German or Swiss disposition would look a bit different. I use the American one when I go through and define the institutions mentioned in this essay since I find it _most_ logic (though not entirely logic). It is also the most recognised arrangement. 1. "Referendum" is of course the actual process in which all citizens with rights to vote in general elections are able to express their view on an issue by going to the polls and cast their votes. In this sense of the word, the initiator is not of any importance. The referendum can be decisive or just consultative which then marks what attention is paid to the outcome. In countries with serious elements of direct democracy like Germany and Switzerland, the meaning of decisive referenda is generally used. That is the case for this essay too when not specified. But referendum is also many times used short for "facultative referendum", a term expressing the institution where a certain percentage of the electorate or absolute number of citizens (usually by written signatures in both cases) can request an already by parliament decided question, to go for approval in a referendum (in the first meaning). This sometimes lead to a confusion in the literature on direct democracy. For clarity, the maybe more illustrative expression "popular veto" is also used. Popular veto obligatorily leads to referendum, otherwise the idea wouldn't be much worth since the parliament already marked its support of the law it is questioning. One differs between "obligatory" and "facultative" referenda. The "obligatory referendum" is one that must be held because mechanically triggered, for example before the constitution can be changed. This is the case in Bayern as well as nationally in Switzerland and Denmark (Blackwell, 1987, p 525). 2. "Initiative" or "popular initiative" is the institution where a certain percentage of the electorate or absolute number of citizens can ask to bring their own proposal to referendum. The proposal can either be a word-by-word text of law (or constitutional law) or a more general text where the exact wording is decided by parliament. The initiative can forcingly lead to referendum. It can also lead to other stipulated acts by governmental institutions instead. The latter is common in Germany. That can range from no more than a discussion in parliament to a full investigation and formulated proposition (but which can be turned down by parliament) depending on the rules. The initiative can sometimes be allowed to act as a popular veto, revoking already taken legislative action. So constitutionally, the distinction between popular veto and popular initiative differs between political cultures and while the two institutions are regulated by very different sets of rules in some countries, for example Switzerland, in Germany they are not (Lewan, 1993, pp 10-12). There, they are both are often referred to as "Buergerbegehren". In Germany, one makes a difference between "Buergerbegehren" and "Buergerinitiative". In this essay, I will call them "popular petition" and "(popular) initative". They are both usually related to as "initiative" internationally in the sense used in the definition above (which I BTW won't be using in this essay to avoid additional confusion), but the "Buergerinitiative" has fewer preconditions attached to it than "Buergerbegehren" and is so easier to attain.2 On the other hand, it has no coercive result while "Buergerbegeheren" does. 3. "Recall" is the power where a certain percentage of the electorate or absolute number of citizens can force a referendum on whether to hold re-elections. So the petition does _not_ lead directly to new elections. It is not used on the national level in any country today, but in many American states, Swiss cantons and some of the German Laender.3 3. Theories and Studies In this chapter, I present the theories I will use in this essay. I start with the normative thinking of Rousseau which dates long back in history, but who takes up ideas that are repeated in one or the other form in many political reasonings. These thoughts are indirectly basic for this essay and I've chosen to make them explicit. There is then a 200 year jump to the post-war public-choice theory in 3.2 and my collection of relevant critisism of the system of political competition. I end with just a few months old politic-economic interesting essays and a little older literature on the importance of institutional arrangement. 3.1 A Social Contract Jean Jacques Rousseau (1712-78) is the father of the normative political philosophy of sovereignty of the people where all representation is meaningless, abolishing the freedom of the people. To him, society is a social contract, where the people have renounced their ultimate freedom to live together under laws. But their explicit approval is demanded at every point, when every law is made. It is not a law by society if not the people have voted for it. It is "null and void". Sovereignty cannot be represented. Only during the short moment when a people elect members of parliament it is free. After that, it's once more in slavery (Rousseau, 1762, p 78). Further, if the people vote for what they believe is the public interest instead of their own private interest, then they vote in accordance of the general will. At best, every citizen will see the general will and we'll have unanimous decisions. To Rousseau, the small scale of the democracy is also important, one reason being, of course, that in the time he lived, direct democracy was hardly possible in larger societies. As well, not least the value of discussion between citizens knowing each other, is a reason for him for stressing small scale. He was a great admirer of the classic Athen democracy and was himself born in Geneve in Switzerland and made no secret of that he felt like a free citizen in his home city state and direct democracy. Today, a few Swiss cantons actually still demand a referendum on each alteration of the law (Lewan, 1993, p 13)! Through the years, Rousseau's ideas has come back again and again and while some philosophies are based on for example technical arrangements in politics, like separation of governmental powers or elites fighting for power, Rousseau simply gives the power back to where it came from. It is maybe not so strange that those ideas seem attractive and won't die. I would say that hardly any discussion on direct or representative democracy can disregard Rousseau's fundamental principle of power emanating from the people. That is true for the recent movements in Germany as well. 3.2 Public Choice Critisism Many public choice authors have long been suspicious of the workings of government. They have explained how democratic political systems can generate unfavorable results. What a lot of times has been the target is pluralism. Dunleavy and O'Leary (1987, p 100) say that the new right argues that the fundamental defect of pluralist political arrangements is the "basic lack of a determinate relation between the 'realities' of the economy and input politics." Public choice writers are interested in the relationship between the inputs in politics often in form of elections, and the management of the economy. There are a number of ways in which they criticise this relationship the way it's mostly done today. Many times it is because it's too indirect. There are a lot of disturbances on the way, and these disturbances can be very harmful to the economic performance of a country. The public choice authors believe that "political input processes have only a limited and badly flawed ability to communicate citizen's views" (op cit, p 114). So public choice thinking about input politics is sceptical and pessimistic. The political marketplace is often characterised by gross imperfections. Three issues have particularily engaged the writers (op cit, p 95): 1. Search of the best democratic constitution. Here, many of the features of the liberal democratic systems are examined and questioned. Why are the expressing of preferences from the people accumulated to one single moment, the election, with little possibility to give a sophisticated picture of the citizens' views? Also, there are many different decision rules that could be tried, but we see the same ones return, over and over again. There is actually no reason for this (Dunleavy & O'Leary 1987, pp 95-96). 2. Limitations of party competition in producing 'realistic' government, that is, a government truthfully reflecting the preferences of the people. 3. The problems and defects stemming from interest group action. Of these, problems 2 and 3 are relevant for this essay and analysed in the following: So, what especially may interest us here in the public choice critique is the trouble that is seen on the input side and state organisation in the _system of political competition_. Sloman (1991, pp 414-415) helps us organise by putting the failings of democratic systems in three points:4 A. Unequal distribution of power. Certain groups or individuals can have a greater influence on politicians than they "deserve" based on who they represent. B. Short-termism. Since politicians face re-elections continuously, they tend to be short sighted. C. Imperfect information. This prevents both voters and politicians from making perfect decisions. Voters are for example not as informed about issues as politicians. The most serious and historically recurrent critisism of the system of political competition seems to be the big influence of interest groups and different types of pressure groups, by the categorising above called A. In the following text, five types of the _related_ problems public choice authors bring up are grouped together. Of the others, the short- termism (B) is generally more empirically confirmed than the imperfect information (C) (Mueller, 1989, p 277). In total, I have found nine concrete public choice problems in the literature on public choice and I will in the coming present them. Some of the problems are border cases and do not clearly fit in any of the main categories. For example, A4, could go with category B and C1 could be part of category A. Though this uncertainty, I've chosen to group them together to hopefully make the points somewhat easier to survey: A1. Collective action 2. Logrolling 3. Pork barrel politics 4. Politicians' activism. 5. Agency - politician links B1. The political business cycle 2. Bidding up voters' expectations C1. Invisible costs 2. Fiscal Illusion A1. Collective action In a western pluralistic society, there are interest groups with a lot of influence on the government. They can be of very different importance. McLean (1987, p 63) supplies Mancur Olson's division of them into privileged, intermidiate and latent. They are usually in size according to that order with latent groups being the biggest (they need not necessarily constitute a factual group at all - the unemployed is the classic example). In the privileged group, there is at least one member who would pay enough by himself in order to see the goal be realised, if he could. In the intermediate group, all members are aware of the others' actions. Olson also classify interest groups into producer groups, consumer groups and altruistic groups. It is the producer group that has the most power. Production owners and labor unions are both producer groups. Consumer groups have no definite sanctions to back their points with and the altruistic groups are the weakest since they aren't even motivated by self-interest. The problem here is that some interest groups have gained powers, but on criteria not necessarily (and maybe indeed unlikely) good for the economy and the people in a country. The powers certainly don't need to be according to the number of citizens they represent. The fact that the unemployed for sociological reasons may have a hard time organising themselves doesn't mean that they should have less to say in society. McLean (1987, p 70-71) talks about the vote and lobby power of interest groups. The vote power is the interest organisation's power of influence over how its own members, or others who has any interest in the groups public opinions vote in elections. The lobby power is the more direct help and promises of cooperation an organisation can offer. MacLean says none of the powers is definitely stronger that the other. There are examples of victories in issues for both sides over the other one. Though the interest organisations in Switzerland are strong ("a very differentiated, pluralist structure of interest organisations", Mueller (1989, p 316) quotes Lehner), the country had the lowest tariff protection of 18 OECD countries listed by Olson in a research (ibid) and a high growth rate. Mueller thinks that this is explained by the fact that the interest organisations have much less use of striking bargains with politicians since the real power lies with the people, exercised through referenda. The lobby power is almost non-existent and only vote power remains. The redistributional struggles that are so saliant in so many other countries, definitely including Germany, are not very prominent in Switzerland though a fractionalised interest group structure. A2. Logrolling. Logrolling or vote-trading is when one group agrees to help another group by voting for a policy package that is including both groups' alternatives reflecting preferences. The package only contains policies that none of the groups are opposed to very much. Logrolling is a common phenomena in liberal democracies and it's most common in multi-member institutions such as legislatures, cabinets or party conventions. The problem is that it has considerable potential for loading costs of proposals onto a minority. Two groups with a majority in an assembly can exploit the minority pushing, what used to be private goods, onto the public sector. This works best when there is a _stable_ coalition and that is many times found in parliaments (Dunleavy & O'Leary 1987, pp 103-106). A3. Pork barrel politics. Pork barrel politics may occur when a politician or possibly a small group of politicians are very exposed to interest group pressures or pressures from the group of voters that elected him/them. The expression is based on an American situation with a Congressman elected by his constituency, but could equally well be, for example, a minister of argicultural affairs whose party is very much depending on the votes of farmers. The trouble is that the support of the group the politician is depending on, is so crucial that the public interest and the big perspective comes second. The politician's political survival is most important (Dunleavy & O'Leary 1987, p 106) Pork barrel politics is in one way an application of logrolling since that's one way a coalition government can tend to drive up public expenditure. A4. Politicians' activism. This is when politicians show a lot of spirit in showing activism after interest organisations and media have put the spot light on a subject. Not much else is done than to take the first initiative. There is not much of a follow-up or critical evaluation so the decision tend to be short sighted. The issue is also considered taken care of, instead of discussed in face of a clear ruling. The politician as an intermediate step between people and decision distorts the relation by starting having a life on its own (Dunleavy & O'Leary 1987, pp 106-107). A5. Agency - politician links. Governmental agencies often establish links with sectional interests and appropriate politicians in order to secure favorable political conditions for their own existence. Even agencies which fulfils a function that is clearly in decline, do this to maintain budgetary fundings and ensure its own survival. It may be very unefficiant to keep these agencies, and also creates an unnecessary growth of the state (Dunleavy & O'Leary 1987, pp 123-124). B1. The political business cycle This is a theory that governments artifically create business cycles by adjusting the economy according to term limits to get the best chance to stay in power. Since we can say that it seems to be a fact there is a negative relation between inflation and unemployment, the idea behind the political business cycle theory is that the incumbent government can create favorable short time statistics on both counts immidiately before an election. In the long run though, such manipulations are hurting the economy. There are more blatant ways of in a manipulating way prepare a government for an election. Generous increases in economic aid targetted to groups of people, raises in grants to public service institutions, lower taxes etc are examples. To finance the expenditures, there may be tax increases and an economy in conraction in off-election years. Mueller (1989, p 295) refers to Buchanan and Wagner who say that the expenditure behavior just before elections is so attractive to the politicians that they usually end up having to pay for some of it in the form of a deficit. To finance the deficit, the government starts to print money with inflation as effect. The political business cycle has of course been examined empirically many times and the results are not clear. There is actually no definite evidence for that the political business cycle exist as a rule in liberal democracies but only proof that it _has_ had its being in some cases in history (Mueller, 1989, p 286). Mueller says (1989, p 306) that if the Keynesian premise that government can determine the macroeconomic performance (and thereby should be given the moral right to interfere with economic life) is accepted, then the industralized nations' governments are responsible for the worsenings of their economies (he has shown this decline statistically in the pages before). He says that the decline "must be assumed to be the direct or indirect consequence of the competition for votes between political parties. The only two countries in the early eighties with budget deficits of less than 1 percent of GDP are oil-rich Norway [...] and Switzerland. Switzerland is the only country in the table for which parties do not compete for the privilege of controlling the central government." It also has the best long-term deficit statistics. And Switzerland is the world's only direct democracy. B2. Bidding up voters' expectations Politicians in opposition often claim that much better policy results could have been attained than the ones the incumbent government has actually achieved. This would be rational because by doing that, they make the ruling government look bad and it will be easier for the them to win the election. Since they are not in office, they have no reason to hold back. Immidiately before the election, even the current government will talk about what a wonderful future that can be projected if they are re-elected. The voter's expectations are increased. Of course, the then elected politicians may later have trouble explaining why they couldn't fulfil their promises, but in the competition to get into office, no party can afford to give accurate information. They have to play this game to get into power. And, like in the political business cycle, it is well possible that the voter's expectations put the government under such pressures that issuing bonds or increasing money supply is a tempting solution (Dunleavy & O'Leary 1987, p 101). C1. Invisible costs Politicians might frequently and carefully target certain groups of people and give them specific highly visible benefits, but when financing this, spread the cost over the largest number of other citizens. That way, the increase of cost will be so small for each individual that the government won't be politically hurt to any great extent. Few will notice, exept the group that got the benefit (Dunleavy & O'Leary 1987, p 105) C2. Fiscal illusion This is when the state can fool the citizens into paying for a larger state than they want to. It can be assumed that citizens measure the size of government by the size of their tax bill. The politicians have to increase the people's tax burden in such a way that it's not visible. If they succeed, citizens have got the illusion of a smaller government than it really is. Mueller (1989, p 342-343) refers to W E Oates who has five ways of explaining the mechanics behind fiscal illusion: 1. The more complex a tax burden, the harder it is to assess its size. 2. For community property taxes, it is harder for people who rent their homes to judge their size than for people who own their houses. 3. Built-in tax increases are more difficult to perceive than legislated changes. 4. Implicit future tax increases through adding up public dept is more difficult to see through than actual raises of the tax. 5. People do not look upon paying taxes as as costly as spending the money in other places. But, the empirical support for the fiscal reasonings above holding true are not clear, just likely. Mueller (1989, p 343) says that public choice writers are most concerned with _who_ it is within government that is most likely to take advantage of the fiscal illusion. Is it politicians, bureaucrats or maybe interest groups? Once again, it's the "lack of a determinate relation between the 'realities' of the economy and input politics" that is the problem. And direct democracy is one way to try to make the realtion more simple and straight foreward. 3.3 New Politic-Economic Thinking Bohnet & Frey (1994), Horstmann & Schneider (1994), Eichenberger (1994) in one issue of the politic-economic magazine "Kyklos", all agree about one matter, that direct democracy is a necessary element in future politics and economics. Bohnet & Frey (1994) stress the benefits of discussion and though they mark a clear distance to 'instant referenda' and 'electronic votings', they emphasize the educating effect of the discussion in connection to referenda (op cit, p 44). They're clearly inspired by the new political development in Europe and for example the Danish EU referenda. They attack the pressure groups and use other of the traditional public choice critisism of the system of politic competition. All in all, it's an essay about the advantages of direct democracy. Horstmann & Schneider (1994) analyse the prospect of the European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) and try to find the solution. They refer to a study by Pommerehne which analyses public expenditure in 111 Swiss municipalities and which shows that the communes with direct democratic systems have much lower rates of growth in these than the others. The reason they give is that it is a direct link between the voters and the actual outcome of decision making (1994, p 372). Looking at the cantons, we see the same pattern and by comparing the direct democratic Switzerland with other countries, we see that Switzerland has the lowest growth of public expenditure of the OECD countries. Federalism may add to the pattern of low growth. Horstmann & Schneider (1994, p 375) say that "There are a number of theories which argue that the level and growth or government is a by-product of the competition for voters between different political parties and candidates." So this is just like we have discussed before, that others have implied. Eichenberger finally, discusses the virtues of federalism as opposed to centralism. In this case, the other side is equipped with modern theories that can be examined. In his text, he for example talks about the chances that the exit option (the option an actor might have to leave an area) may crowd out the voice option (the option an actor might have to express his opinion, for example by voting). But in the end, he reaches the complete opposite conclusion:Êthat the voice option is endorced by an existing exit option (1994, p 410-411, 416). He advocates direct democracy as a solution of many of the same problems that he claims federalism can cure. These three essays in "Kyklos" as well as other literature referred to in this essay cast serious doubt on the whole western system of representative democracy, and most important, they propose a very concrete solution that hasn't been tried in many places yet. In Germany, things are moving in this direction and that's what this essay is going to take a look at. 3.4 Arrangements of Political Institutions The over-supply thesis, developed by William Niskanen is a central new- right theory for explaining why governmental agencies grow (Dunleavy & O'Leary, 1992, p 117). It is, according to this theory, by their own mechanism. For example, in a bureaucracy, the first civil servants can be very useful since none at all would mean that the agency couldn't perform any work at all (we assume the agency in itself is useful). The next ones would still be an improvement for performance, but maybe not so crucial and at some point, no more civil servants would be needed. It would be a cost on society to employ more. The over-supply thesis now say, that the agency is not interested in finding the highest societal benefit/cost ratio, but is budget maximizing instead (since an agency by being big gives the agents prestige, higher salaries etc). Therefore, they continue to expand (with employing more civil servants in this case) as long as society still thinks they aren't more harmful than useful. They will use up all the credit they got for the useful ones of the civil servants to employ twice the number, just until society neither benefits nor loses anything as a result of the existence of the agency (op cit, pp 117-119) Romer et al (1992) analyse referenda on school budgets in school districts in the state of New York. The laws are that a non-city district must hold one referendum each year on the budget. If the referendum fails, then the school may continue try holding more ones. In the end, it can pass a crises budget that is supposed to be temperate. The districts generally don't want this to happen. In the research, 544 districts voted, 142 district failed to pass the budget on the first try. 120 tried a second time, this time only 65 passed. On the third time 8 of 24 were rejected. One district tried a fourth time and succeded. All in all, 60 district chose the crises budget. What now is interesting, is the proportion that repelled the budget proposals. _After_ the initial rejections, the proportion was about 50%, which is what the Niskanen over-supply thesis predicts. If we see the school boards as the governmental agency that budget maximises, they would like to present a budget that would be so large that the general public just supports it. In the second referendum, the school boards are trying to repair their way too big first proposal by getting just barely inside what the general public can accept. Many other points are made in Romer et al's essay, but the above conclusion is one to have in mind when studying financial referenda. They can be heavily manipulated by the agenda setter - he will many times keep just within the boundaries - but, without the public immidiate check in form of referenda, the situation would probably be much even worse.5 Steuenberg gives a more extensive analysis of the arrangements of political institutions. He wants to examine those several American investigations that have shown that the difference in public expenditure between direct and representative democracies are not that big (though there are other examinations showing that there indeed are large differences). He examines the _arrangement_ between political institutions, not just which ones exist. That his point. While Romer et al above, studied a situation with an exogene agenda setter, he looks at several different arrangements of which the direct initiative is the most direct way for making the people's preferences of a limited budget into reality. A lot of other arrangements are also analysed. The combinations are endless with questions like: who proposes the budget, who can amend it and who can veto it? Who can overrule the veto and under which circumstances? In this, what are the roles of legislature, bureaucracy, executive, the people etc? What he teaches us is that institutional _arrangement_ matters. Outcomes of public decision making seem to be affected by political institutions. There have been many studies supporting this hypothesis, comparing local governments using town meetings with those with representative systems. There are other views though. Some study concluded that the influence of the initiative, referendum and recall is very modest when it comes to public expenditure (Steuenberg, 1992, p 502). In the essay, Steuenberg (1992, p 502) says that it is often argued that representative democracy contains more 'white noise' than direct democracy because of the intermediary level of representatives, where bureaucracy and interest groups can focus their attacks. That is a good summary of this paper's report on public choice writer's theories, which we're going to follow up on in the chapters on Laender and local government. 4. Participatory Traditions In the following I'll explain some of the old pre-war history to keep in mind when investigating direct democratic elements in Germany. History plays a role in many contemporary constitutional discussions either implicitly or expressively as arguments, as we'll see in later chapters 5 and 6. After Napoleon in 1806 defeated Prussia's army at the battle of Jena, there was a reaction in Prussia to create a system of urban government in a philosophy contrary to the one of Napoleon. In Prussia, power was then supposed to be decentralized all the way to the grass roots. The Chief Minister Baron vom Stein expressed it in what is still a very well-known text in Germany (Norton, 1994, p 238): "Entrusting power and responsibility to a man develops his ability: continuous tutelage hampers his development. Participation in public affairs confers a sense of political significance, and the stronger this sense becomes, the greater also grows his interest in the common good and the fascination of taking part in public activities, both of which contribute to a nation's spirit." So, the participation of the citizens in government was stressed a lot. The Prussian model got a deep influence in eastern Germany, but in the West, some states still relied on a more French system. Germany between the wars, the Weimar republic, became in theory a direct democracy. For example, 10% of the electorate could impose a referendum on an issue even nationally (Fisk, 1924, pp 162-163). But since a condition of 50% of those entitled to vote was demanded for the bill to become law, not one single national referendum initiated by the people in the Weimar republic actually made it all the way (Hernekamp, 1979, s 376f).6 At the Land level though, there were a lot of referenda succesfully carried through, and a situation that was more chaotic, with lots of re-elections forced upon popular demand (recall) (Hernekamp, 1979, pp 378-383). 5. The Laender There are 16 states, "Laender" in Germany. Five of these are new since the reunification: Brandenburg, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, Sachsen, Sachsen-Anhalt and Thueringen. Three in total are city states: Berlin, Bremen and Hamburg. The rest are: Baden-Wuerttemberg, Bayern, Hesse, Niedersachsen, Nordrhein-Westfalen, Rheinland-Pfalz, Saarland and Schleswig-Holstein (see appendix). The powers of the federal level are matters of defense, foreign policy, state finances etc and also federal railways, federal air traffic, post and telecommunications. The federal powers are in general very limited. The Laender have in principle the right to decide about everything else. 5.1 History and Development All the thirteen Land constitutions that were created in 1946/47, in Wuerttemberg-Baden, Bayern, Hessen, Thueringen, Sachsen-Anhalt, Mecklenburg, Brandenburg, Sachsen, Rheinland-Pfalz, Wuerttemberg- Hohenzollern, Baden, Bremen and Saarland included the right of referendum. But there was caution when it came to establishing popular initiatives. Instead of the old Weimar 10% of the electorate to request a referendum, 20% became the rule in most of West Germany. Other limitations were also introduced, for example in Saarland, where the initiative was stripped of its imperative action. With the cold war, this trend away from direct democracy was intensified. The federal republic was developed strictly into a representative democracy. Instead of embracing the idea of "sovereignty of the people", the system was a complex pattern of checks and balances and a "rule of law". The state was supposed to be based on parties, "Der Parteienstaat" (Norton, 1994, p 241-242). There was a historic reason behind this. Since the West was afraid of communist attacks, the people was not considered enough reliable (it was "unberechenbare"). The decision to abandon direct democracy was a "classic cold war decision" (Jung, 1992, p 31). Also, the "negative Weimar experiences" mentioned before were used as an argument. The creation of West Germany with its representative character had implications at the Land level. The constitutions that were constructed after the national constitution was created refrained from using direct democratic elements. They were Schleswig-Holstein, Niedersachsen and Hamburg. Both Berlin and Nordrhein-Westfalen are illusionary exceptions since they were structurally older. Baden-Wuerttemberg was a special case (Jung, 1992, p 31). For four decades, this remained unchanged. The experience of direct democracy, mostly from Bayern, was not considered using in other Laender. Today though, there is an alteration and Jung (1992, p 31-32) gives two reasons why: 1. There was a state crises in Schleswig-Holstein when the head of government were pressured into suicide and the change of power created a constitutional reform which gave guidance to successive reforms in other Laender. And this reform was probably partly inspired by the following: 2. The revolutions in Eastern Europe and the creation of the East German Land constitutions was a reason. Because the revolution in East was the work of the people, it was natural with continued power to the people in the form of direct democracy and this was apparent in the subsequent constitutional proposals. 5.2 Direct Democracy in West Today The most important form of direct democracy in the Land constitutions is the popular petition. All Laender have this institution except for Berlin, Niedersachsen and Hamburg, which have marked a general distance towards direct democracy. In those Laender that have the popoular petition, the only way for the parliaments to avoid referenda is to simply adopt the proposal themselves. It has had very different impacts in the political life in different Laender. Bayern is the Land where it has gained most practical importance. Most Laender have given the people limited right for popular petition for making laws. Also, in most Laender, the petition has to be based on "objective ground". "Financial matters" are not included in the right in the rights of the people (what Degenhart refers to as the "direktdemokratischer Volksrechte")(1992, p 84). From what we've seen by the reasonings in the beginning of this essay, this is a huge mistake, shutting out the most valuable characteristics of direct democracy! There are several examples of political authors only interested in referenda on financial questions and nothing else. von Weizaecker is one example. He thinks that binding financial decisions to referenda is one of the solutions to cure the great German budget deficit (1992, p 60 & passim). An exception to the ordinary limitations can be found in the new constitution of Schleswig-Holstein where the petition right is expanded to all sorts of political questions. One can speculate that recent essays on the virtues of direct democracy on economic development has played its part. Concerning the possibilities of popular vetos, they have been used with different intensities. In Bayern and Schleswig-Holstein, 10% of the electorate has to sign. In Baden-Wuerttemberg it is one sixth and in Nordrhein-Westfalen, Hessen, Rheinland-Pfalz, Saarland and Bremen it is one fifth. But in these latter Laender, there are also many times a requirement of high participation percentage in the referenda which gives a discouraging effect from the start of the petition process. Degenhart (1992, p 86) thinks that direct democracy in its most practical and strongest form cannot stay at half the distance. If it's to made effective, constitutional changes must follow. But from looking at the fights around the constitutions in Schleswig-Holstein and Niedersachsen in 6.4.1, there may indeed be a distinct purpose of limiting the impact of the "unberechenbare" people from the point of view of one of the major political parties. It can even be said to be a good thing that halfway alternatives are possible. Obligatory constitutional referenda (initiated by the state) are in the Laender more exception than the rule both by constitution and by practise (the governments don't issue referenda voluntarily). In Bayern and Hessen, there are compulsory referenda when the constitution is to be changed though. There are not compulsory referenda for any other cases in those Laender. In both of them, a simple majority is only what is needed for approval. This is considered a problem by Degenhart (op cit, p 87) because he feels it's not much use by it since the Land parliament mechanically can count on support of the people with a simple majority. He wants requirement of a qualified majority instead. Looking at the examples of the New York school referenda and Niskanen's theories earlier in this essay, we get the impression that he might be right in one way, that a qualified majority condition would increase the powers of the people, now that they aren't the agenda setter and have to accept or refuse the proposals layed for them. In practise, most of these referenda have had clear majorities in Germany. Some Laender issue the possibility of holding a referendum if no majority can be found in parliament. And in Baden-Wuerttemberg and Nordrhein-Westfalen, a referendum must be held, if only a majority and not a qualified majority supports a change of the constitution. But in Nordrhein-Westfalen, there are also possibilities for the Land government to without support from parliament initiate a referendum on a law, if a proposal has failed in parliament. Though this give the people only very limited power (waiting for such a situation to occur), it still makes a suggestion of the Rousseau notion that the people is the ultimate sovereign that one can go back to, if the representative institutions fail. That they ordinarily can't be trusted with that decision right is another matter. But this function has not gained any importance. And in Baden-Wuerttemberg, it has never been used. So, changes in the constitution in Bayern requires a referendum to be held. This has happened several times on school issues and concerning a particular article in the constitution on radio broadcasting. Direct democracy can come in conflict with the "interest group democracy", for example the large churches. But it can be seen as a counterweight, Degenhart (1992, p 82) says. As been presented in this essay, this is one of the main reasons on the whole of direct democracy. And according to Rousseau of course, there exists no excuse for taking away the decision right of the people (that was almost too easy ). There have been quite a few failing petitions in Bayern. One was about freedom of choice of school text books and cost of school food and failed because of that the proposal wasn't enough well drawn-up and well-founded to be accepted according to the law. Another one was about founding a national park in a specific area. That time, the proposal was judged to break both the federal and Land constitutions. Also, in other Laender, proposals have failed. A limitation in the enlargement of an airport in Hessen fell on the competence of the petition. As well the stationing of intermediate distance missiles in Baden-Wuerttemberg and a school question in Nordrhein-Westfahlen were turned down because of lack of competence. In school questions in Saarland and Bremen, the petitions failed, this time because of the proposals being too vague. There are popular rights of demanding re-election of the representatives in many Laender, recall, the third leg of direct democracy, as presented by me in the start of this essay. But recall has been made difficult. The use of it has its traditions from the Weimar republic. In BadenÐWuerttemberg, one sixth of the electorate have to support the holding of a referendum on the issue. In the issue, a majority of the those eligible to vote must support bringing the recall to referendum. In Bayern, one million people has to support it. It wouldn't be that far-fatched to interpret the fact that the recall still exists as a reminder of that Hitler was popularly elected. The experiences from the Weimar republic were not good however. In general, history seems to play a great part in the shaping of direct democratic institutions in Germany. Degenhart is interested in the possibilities of introducing direct democratic institutions on the federal level in Germany (Degenhart, 1992, p 92ff). Degenhart says that there is room for such a move. The constitution does not oppose direct democracy though it marks a clear distance (op cit, p 78). One should strive for a certain amount of congruity between the development on Land and state levels. What has happened on the Land level can be a point of aim for the federal level. Of course, there are lots of opponents, issuing the classic warnings of emotional thinking, lack of distance in thinking and easily manipulation. But the experiences from the Laender have shown that direct democracy shouldn't be dismissed, Degenhart says (op cit, p 96). He wants an obligatory constitutional referendum on the federal level and he doesn't think it's self-explanatory that financial questions are excluded. Further, it's not realistic with requirements of 50% of the electorate voting yes or no. The fears expressed concerning direct democracy have not been realised and the experiences that have been made should be utilised if revising the German constitution (op cit, p 97). 5.3 The New Eastern Laender Haeberle (1993) reproduces 27 proposals for constitutions in the new eastern Laender 1990-1992 and describes some of the processes around the creation of these. The people making them studied other states in Germany, Switzerland and Austria. Especially the very inovative movements among the Swiss cantons were considered, but also the more cautious movements in the Austrian Laender. We now live in an age of constitutional making, "Verfassungszeitalter" (Haeberle, 1993, p 71). There still lacks a lot of material for studying the peaceful revolution around the legend "Wir sind das Volk - wir sind ein Volk." (Haeberle, 1993, p 73). The old DDR constitution from 1974 is still partly in place. The Laender created in 1990 constructed temporary constitutions just to organise parliament and government. Only the necessary processes were covered. Then, many designs were developed, coming both from eastern Germany and western. Sachsen was in the lead with many proposals but proposals came 1990 in all Laender. The ones from the West were closer to the federal constitution. But Haeberle (1993, p 77) thinks that the Laender should experiment to the limits of the federal constitution and be as autonomous as possible. In this, the cantons in Switzerland could be a model. The competition between the two upper levels of government can be of vital importance. Common for all proposals for eastern German constitutions is the serious searching for direct democratic elements. Haeberle thinks this is historically consistent, considering that the people liberated itself (1993, p 80). In some cases, the new Laender really create something of their own, in others, they just copy. It is a mix of elements of continuity and progress. Brandenburg is the the most forward Land, while for example Thueringen and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are more cautious. Looking at this in a time perspective, we can see a tendency of increasing rectification and adjustment to the West German standard. After the joy in the first months after the revolution, the drafts were very bold and tried the federal constitution to its limits. But when the western political parties gained importance, the autonomy decreased and the federal constitution or the western Land constitutions were copied to a greater extent. Western advisors in eastern Germany have probably played a great part in this (Haeberle, 1993, p 91). Still, the eastern German constitutional proposals (and constitutions) is an unparallelled step of development for Land constitution law in Germany, maybe even comparable to the new Swiss cantonal one. The propositions are as many-sided and individual as the West German Land constitutions of 1945 and forward. In many ways, the eastern German constitutions are now in the lead in Germany in an evolutionary sense. Hopefully, influence will flow the other way as well - from East to West (Haeberle, 1993, p 91-92). 5.4 Some Examples of German Development 5.4.1 Schleswig-Holstein and Niedersachsen The first weighty constitutional debates in Schleswig-Holstein started in 1990. The models that were studied were the 40 years of experiences from the western German Laender, Switzerland, Denmark and also the revolution in DDR. In addition, Jung (1992, p 34) mentions the important legend "Wir sind das Volk" and the ideas that the people are participating in decisions and not just onlookers. There were at first many controversies. SDP (the Social Democrats) who newly had been achieved governemental power, suggested a constitution with many _very_ liberal direct democratic elements (low quora for petitions etc) and very few of the traditional checks on initiatives from the people, but the opposition party CDU's (the Christian Democrats) counter proposal was stripped altogether from elements of direct democracy! In the end, a constitution with a little more moderate check on the referendum institutions than the SPD originally had proposed, was adopted by parliament. That was in May 30 1990. There was not held a referendum on the new constitution. Jung (1992, p 35) explains the political importance of the constitution. It was very significant. It was the first time in 40 years that a Land parliament instituted a system of popular law making. It was creative in many ways though Jung thinks that the fact that it was built on the Weimar model gives him bad vibes. :-) In the same fashion, in 1992 when Jung wrote his essay, plans for a constitutional reform in Niedersachsen was on its way. For a long time, the Land constitution has been only a temporary one. Now, in the end, there was a need for reform in almost all political areas. In the same way as in Schleswig-Holstein, SDP pressed on for direct democratic institutions while CDU wanted the more traditional federal model. The issue wasn't finally decided in 1992. 5.4.2 Brandenburg and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Finally, we will describe the most basic popular insitutions of Brandenburg, that has become somewhat of a forerunner in the new democratic trends: If 20 000 people sign an initiative for a change of law, the issue has to be heard and considered in parliament, but which can turn it down. If 150 000 people sign an initiative for a change of constitution or recall of parliament, it's the same procedure, the parliament can turn it down. But if the initiative now is turned down, the people can issue a petition instead: If 80 000 people sign a petition for a change of law, there has to be held a referendum on the matter. If 200 000 people sign a petition for a change of constitution or recall of parliament, there has to be held a referendum on the matter. In the first case, 50% of those voting has to approve the law and 25% of the electorate has to say yes. In the second case, two thirds has to approve the action (constitutional law or recall) and 50% of the electorate has to say yes. Looking at the constitutional proposals (Haeberle, 1992, p 105, p 123), you can see that in the first proposal the figure 150 000 was 100 000 and the figure 200 000 was 150 000 in the first proposal but the second one became the final text of the constitution. As usual when it comes to the new German constitutions and as discussed before, the later drafts were more compromising than the first ones. The Brandenburg constitution begins with "Wir, die Buergerinnen und Buerger des Landes Brandenburg, haben uns in freier Entscheidung diese Verfassung gegeben" which means that the citizens have made the free decision to come together and make a constitution. This is typical of the ideas of Rousseau, that goverment is nothing more than a social contract with people deciding so, by their own free will. The constitution continues (one passage omitted): "gruendend auf den friedlichen Veraenderungen im Herbst 1989," which marks the extra- ordinary importance the events in the fall of 1989 are credited with and quite likely that they color the content of the constitution. When studying the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern constitution (Landtag Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, 1994), one finds that even though this constitution is supposed to be less bold and more western influenced than the one of Brandenburg, it contains many similarities with this constitution and contains low quora for initiative and petition. While the Laender in this way, for example by taking a look at the constitutions, is in some way straight forward to analyse, the situation of the local governments is more complex. They are dependent on both higher levels of government and there are simply more of them, within each system. That is what we're going to take a look at in the next chapter. 6. Local Government 6.1 Size and Organisation The federal constitution gives local authorities the status of third level of government along with the federal and Land levels.7 They enjoy more respect in Germany than in most other Western democracies (Norton 1994, p 244). Their existence is guaranteed by the federal constitution. They have a general competence which in principle means the right to make decisions in all those areas not reserved for the two higher levels. In the constitution, some basic elements of their working is described. But it is the Land constitutions that in detail regulate how communes are supposed to be organised and which assignments they will have. The Land constitutions look quite different from each other in this field. There are "Kreise" and "Gemeinde" (the latter here referred to as "communes" from a German synonym "Kommune") at the lower level of government in Germany. The Kreise is the upper level with a population average of in western Germany about 160 000. It has no rights granted to it by the federal constitution. The big cities are not a part of the Kreis-structure but retain those very functions themselves (as well as being communes of course). The communes in Germany are very small with an average size of 5000 people. In the 70's, a lot of the communes were amalgamated into bigger ones and in eastern Germany, this is a now an ongoing process, more so in some Laender (eg Brandenburg) than others (eg Sachsen)(Harding et al, 1995). It is entirely up to the Laender to decide about the minimum size of lower-level governments. In the southern Laender, the stress has been on voluntary amalgamation and commune co-operation. In the north, where the building of bigger communes has been more common, Norton (1994, p 255) says research reports say that management capability has improved and the bigger size has opened up more autonomy in the communes' decisions. The local level is becoming "an increasingly important part of decision-making".8 Less contacts between citizens and councils has been one of the disadvantages. A basic dinstinction between North and South is that in the North, the mayor is elected by the council and has assignments separated from the administration while in the south (Baden-Wuerttemberg, Bayern) the mayor is directly elected by the people (with long term limits) and is head of both the administrative and political operation. The new eastern Laender have in general taken up the southern model (Grunow, 1992, p 54). There are usually many possibilities for altering the party lists at local elections in Germany. Candidates can be striken out, others added and additional votes given to yet others. Also in practise, these potentials are taken advantage of. In southern Germany, it is reported that only about 20% of the lists are left unchanged! Individual councillors are naturally extremely sensitive to voters' feelings immidiately before elections (Norton 1994, pp 275-276). 6.2 Direct Democracy in the Communes The social activism of the 1960's led to more involving the citizens in the decision making process at the local level, sometimes as a result and compensation of the amalgamations of communes when 276 000 elected representatives became 153 000 and thereby contacts between citizens and councillors became less frequent. In many German villages, there is a tradition of discussing matters of concern in town meetings. Also here, is the southern German participatory tradition the stronger one whereas in Baden-Wuerttemberg and in Bayern a stipulated number or proportion of the citizens can demand the convening of such meetings. Most of the Laender give the communes the right to hold decisive local referenda. Initiative can be taken from the council or a certain percentage of the population. There is a usually provision of a fixed number of the electorate participating in the voting. Numbers of course differs between the Laender. Citizens can request an issue to be considered and decided by the local council in a popular intitiative. In most cases, it has to be dealt with within three months (in Hesse: considered within six months, decided on within yet another six months). In some Laender, there is a requirement that the initiative is supported by reasons and an estimate of the costs of implementation. Because of the sometimes hard criteria for launching initiatives and the fact that they can be turned down by the council without the people being asked, this a weak control of government. An instrument like this is typically used for citizens to be able to participate in setting the political agenda without actually give them any absolute decision making power (see Hoekstra, 1994). Baden-Wuerttemberg though, has a unique system with direct activation of decisive referendum upon popular demand.9 15% of the voters has to sign the petition. A statement of the issue to be decided must be included. Also, the backround to the issue and a proposal of how to raise the necessary resources must be submitted. The Baden-Wuerttemberg popular petition can also be used as a popular veto since it can be directed towards a council decision within four weeks of its publication. There are a number of matters that are excluded, among those financial matters. The council has the power of ruling on admissibility. It can anticipate the referendum by themselves adopting the proposal in the petition directly. Otherwise, a 30%-quorum of the electorate partipating in the voting is needed for the result to be valid. The Baden-Wuerttemberg system is well-known in local government constitution discussions in Germany for its special characteristics. It is indeed a model of communal direct democracy by most definitions of the name. It features the initiative/petition institution as well as the popular veto institution which are the most basic elements of direct democracy. At the same time, it is limited and restricted in almost all ends. 6.3 Comparisons & Party Impact It is important to remember that the typical commune gets two thirds of its financial resources from higher levels of government and generates only one third itself. Moreover, as in the following paragraphs explained more thoroughly, Laender can intervene in communal budgets. This means that many other factors than the political system determine the economy and in the end maybe even the possibilities to balance the budget. It is therefore difficult to make any definite evaluations of the economic performance of different communal systems. Since 1969, federal aid to communes is undoubtedly within the constitution if channeled through the Laender in form of block grants. The consensus needed and the indirect grants have been critisised, for example for its slowness of decision-making. The Laender are responsible for providing sufficient financial resources to the local authorities. If the budget of a lower-level government is failing, the Land is accountable to intervene. It can for example directly order taxes or charges to be increased or even appoint a commissioner to take over. In the end of the 80's, it was much discussed whether the Laender should be allowed to limit local authority expenditures but it was politically unacceptable to introduce this reform given the notion of the local government's constitutional rights (Norton, 1994, p 274). Still, while we're keeping in mind the reservations made in this chapter's first paragraph, the constitutions for local government in southern Germany are argued to create more well-balanced budgets. Deficit budgets are most common in the north. Norton thinks this difference is because of the clear accountability of the mayor in the south. The theories we have presented suggest that it is because of the direct democracy in Baden-Wuerttemberg (especially) and Bayern. That would be in line with for example the studies Horstmann & Schneider (1994) refers to. Norton does agree to that it can be because of logrolling in government (1994, p 274). This A2 in my survey of public choice critisism of pluralistic government (ch 3.2) indicates that logrolling is increasing public expenditures. Attempts to rate different commune models according to performance have not been altogether convincing, Norton (1994, p 277) says.10 Yet, later, he says that the northern German model has been the most criticised. Some reports have recommended its abolition. Many citizens approach the mayor directly like he was the executive, despite his lack of formal powers. He, in his turn, might have a hard time to do the responsible thing and say no and refer them to the chief administrative officer. Whether the northern model is more democratic than the southern strong mayor system is forcefully contested (op cit, pp 279-280). In Hesse, a recent consultative referendum showed a large majority in favor of the latter. It is now expected there will be a change towards this system in Hesse. Fried 1976 makes a study on party impact on communal policies in German cities. German cities are much varied in their actions when it for example comes to taxation, welfare, incurring debts and the employing of people. He analyses 53 of the biggest cities - those with 100 000 people or more (the three city states are not included). Studies of the relation between party and policy have traditionally shown mixed results. In many cases, there has been a weak or even (to what was expected) contradictory relation (Fried 1976, p 12). Previous studies in Germany have shown impact of party either weak or nonexistent. Political variables has emerged as weaker than social economic or cultural, in explaining differences in policy outcomes (op cit, p 16). Based on statements by West German local political leaders, there would on the contrary be a very direct impact (ibid). Fried lists a number of possible explanations for low impact after presenting the results of a new study he has made. Some examples of these explanations are: much power held by administration or weak communal autonomy. He also mentions an "anti-party affect" which would be a hostility in German political culture towards strong partisanship at the local level, a feeling that it was out of place at that level. Maybe the old Weimar time still plays a role (op cit, p 23). And maybe it's the Prussian participatory school that rejects too much emphasis on party politics. His conclusion though, is that party control indeed _does_ play _some_ role over extended periods of power. Of course, a later follow-up on this study would tell us more today. "Germany possess a powerful system of interest group organisation, recognized in law and closely linked with political parties.", Norton (1994, p 243) writes. It is a corporate pluralism. The interest organisations are a recognised part of the institutional system in the Laender and large communes and receive support from public revenues. The intertwining of interest groups and agencies in government is "an outstanding aspect of German political life" (ibid). All this is of course a horror for the public choice critics and their ideas as they were presented in chapter 3. There is a united labor movement in Germany that is quite effective in wage negotiations linked with a willingness of businesses to co-operate (Norton, 1994, p 247). It is the strong Olson producer groups that co- operate and definitely get themselves a "greater influence (...) than they 'deserve'"as Sloman's category A is expressed in this essay. There is no clear distinction between policy advice/making between ministers and public officials. Party membership has been a condition for many civil servant appointments which has brought these officials into the parties. There has been an interweaving of the both interests and one which can be "impenetrable to outsiders, and sometimes corrupt." (Norton, 1994, p 249). This phenomena can be tied to the A5 "agency- politician links"which might help unefficient governmental agencies survive after they have fulfilled their function, as well as of course with the A1 general "collective action" problem. Also, this has meant that the advisors coming from western Germany to eastern Germany have expected to continue the tradition and come to dominate local councils. A federal law of 1967 has provided exercise of Keynesian counter-cyclic policies at the national level and forced Laender and lower level governments to conform (Norton, 1994, p 259). This should have increased the possibility for political business cycles (B1) and at the same time decreased the powers for the Laender to counteract this. 6.4 Communal Reform Grunow (1992) describes a constitutional reform for local government in Nordrhein-Westfalen that at the time of his writing was being prepared. The constitution has undergone reform in this respect before. Grunow counts eight times between 1948 and 1984, but the basic structure has never really been changed. It has been argued that too many interests in social groups or parties would be affected. There could never be a consensus or mayby not even a majority for a big change. In some ways, this is was still the case in 1992 but yet reform came on the agenda. The models from Baden-Wuerttemberg and Bayern are now taken into consideration. Until today, Nordrhein-Westfalen has been heavily ideologically influenced by the reforms around the amalgamations in the 70's. The questions of communal size and administrative efficiency have been dominant. In the reform debate, formal interventions of citizens in the decision- making process is a topic. What also is discussed is a merging of the functions of mayor and head of administration, also here from inspiration of the southern German model. It is nearly impossible to evaluate the overall performance of local government as a consequence of constitution, Grunow extends Norton's point (1992, p 50). Many intiatives of change stem from the experience of a single case or very few ones and many times an experience not even shared by others analysts. In almost all instances, there is a contradictory case. Also, in processes of change, there is almost always someone winning and someone losing. There are therefore different evaluations within a specific case. What is often starting a reform are comparisons and competition between comparable models. In Germany, the situation is in some ways good for these comparisons with a federal system in which whole sets of communes are existing. (As explained above, there are definite problems too.) What is of central concern in Nordrhein-Westfalen is a comparison with the models in Bayern and especially Baden-Wuerttemberg. The interesting trait of these systems that Grunow mentions, is the idea of the mayor being elected as well as him having strong administrative powers (op cit, p 52). One cannot, in this content, look away from the direct democracy which was established as a countervailing mechanism against the powerful mayor (ibid). But this is not the major reason for the Nordrhein-Westfalen interest in Baden-Wuerttemberg. It may be a bit strange, looking at the conclusions of writers presented in ch 3.3 of this essay, who see clear economic advantages of local direct democratic elements, supported by both theory and empiri from other places. The fact that the German South balances its budgets better than the North adds to the pattern. Grunow has read Banner who is a proponent of the Baden-Wuerttemberg model and is using three criteria for comparison: budgeting, personnel policy and citizen policy and thinks the Baden-Wuerttemberg model performs better on all counts. Without any more extensive argumenting, Grunow says he dosen't buy them, except for the one of balancing the budget. He even finds another author that in a comparative empirical analysis questions even giving the credit to the Baden-Wuerttemberg constitution for this. Once again, it is brought up that the communes in Germany are so different in size, location, economic structure and long- term majorities, that contrasting them to each other gets very hard. Yet another author says that the Baden-Wuerttemberg participatory elements has allowed development of a specific political culture that can't be transported elsewhere. Looking at the continued Land comparison/competition trends in Germany, this seems a unspecified reason not to try it elsewhere. 6.5 The New Eastern Communes Grunow (1992, p 46) says that "there are strong interests in East Germany to include more participation and decision rights for the citizens in the commune constitution." This, he ascribes, like Jung (1993) and Haeberle (1993) before in this essay, the experiences of the 'peaceful revolution' as well as a long binding 1990 DDR law about local government. And it is useful to point out that the protest against the communist party started with the illusory communal elections in 1989. It is only reasonable that any resemblance of those elections is a sensitive issue for the eastern Germans who might want something more obviously democratic. In general, it has been very obvious that both political participation and administrative efficiency are the main points for the modelling of local government. Grunow thinks the goals are only partially compatible (1992, p 46). The situation in the eastern German states is quite different from the one in Nordrhein-Westfalen because there are completely new constituions that must be established. The conserving forces are much weaker. The choices have to be thoughtful and weighted selections of specific models in western Europe. It can be a new mixture of different elements _or_ even a completely new model (within the limits of the federal constitution, that is). Grunow (1992, p 53) thinks "this situation can lead to a more open impartial review and evaluation of the existing alternatives." One restriction is the 1990 (May 17) DDR law on self-administration. It puts a lot of stress on citizen's rights of participation. It is a combination of western models with the melding of the tasks of mayor and head of administration but the mayor is not directly elected and he's forcefully controlled by the council. And "the notion of grassroots democracy is much more anchored here than in all models in West Germany.", Grunow says (1992, p 54) concerning the content of the DDR law. The Laender have since, been given the right by the federal constitution to create their own commune constitutions but the impact of the DDR law still appears important. It seems to Grunow (op cit, p 54) that the eastern Germans are _not_ willing to accept pressure from western German colleagues. And because so much is new, popular support when creating new structures and institutions gets important for reasons of legitimacy especially. It is difficult to imagine that the power given to the people today can be taken away later when eastern Germany has been built up. Especially, since a transcendance to the (north) western system now would need the explicit approval of the people in many places. Harding et al (1995) think that eastern Germans are fast learners in the building of institutions and realise that citizens must be made to feel part of the process if reforms are to be effective. So, as touched upon before, there are at least influences, if not pressures, from many advisers from the West. It has been desribed as 'colonisation' of eastern German administration. The "consultants" (Harding et al, 1995) have been especially busy coming with suggestions for the Land level since the commune level had a few still workable elements but have certainly tried to move things here too. It is not so strange that the westerners from a certain Land try to sell their model since it is the model they know best and probably the one they can give best evaluations of. A partnership has been established between Nordrhein-Westfalen and Brandenburg and one of the thoughts of arrangements like these is that West will be able to help East. In the case of Sachsen, Bayern and Baden-Wuerttemberg are partners. This has been a trend of establishing new political frameworks and spreading political experience. It is interesting to see if Nordrhein-Westphalen now will transport its model to Brandenburg. It basically doesn't seems so, but the big-size commune system of Nordrhein-Westphalen has actually already been implemented. But keep in mind, as seen by the text about commune amalgamations earlier, the bigger size can even be seen as incentives for direct democracy, for not losing the popular participation in politics. Sachsen has chosen the southern German small communes and so not reformed the previous standard size very much. Harding et al do an interview with the secretary of the "Sachsen city and commune association" which is "proud" of the southern German administrative strucure and he thereby associates himself with the southern West. My analysis is that the southern German commune system is following more consistently the ideas of the Rousseau small participatory society, than the one of northern Germany (including Brandenburg). And this is also persistent with the old Prussian aims where Sachsen is a notable example. Harding et al (1995) compares Sachsen and Brandenburg when it comes to debates in the Land parliament. They see that attention to the wishes of the people and other local-level considerations is much more likely to be mentioned in Sachsen. In Brandenburg, by contrast, the emphasis is on efficiency and technical considerations. But it would be surprising if the incorporation of East Germany meant a one way street in the spreading of policies. The Brandenburg participatory solution is an example of a more independent thinking (there are other examples, as well) if we disregard the minimum size of communes, and is something that is bound to have an impact when Nordrhein Westphalen reforms its constitution given the close co- operation between the two. Also, the events of 1990-1992 have shaken the idea of permanence of liberal democratic images of government. Supporters of participatory democracy in the West are naturally endorsed by the eastern German trends. It is a trend _away_ from the classic German emphasis on efficient adminstration. And what is efficient and what is not, is not so self-explanatory this essay has shown. There can be seen a pattern in which efficient city management has become the tasks of communes in western Germany while democratic values are represented on the Land level. In eastern Germany, this trend is quite the opposite, with the small units seen as the basis of democratic participation and legitimacy and effiency lays on higher levels (Grunow, 1992, p 57). As we saw in the section about the Laender, it is clear that in the case of western Germany, the Land level is the most interesting to study concerning direct democratic institutions. But, examining Grunow's statement, we saw that we generally had to go to eastern Germany also in the case of most democratic experimenting on the German Land level. Especially Brandenburg is an example of a Land emphasising participation on the Land level, a little more western stylish. 7. Conclusions and Summary 7.1 Limiting Direct Democracy We have in this essay found many ways direct democratic institutions can be limited in their functions. If we leave out the very basic differences between what the Germans (and we in this essay) call initiative and petition ("begehren"), that are so fundamental that the Germans even have separate names for, the limitations can be summarised as follows (with the adding of some new information): 1. The popular petition can be requested to include supplements explaining reasons behind the petition, estimates of costs and how to raise the money needed. 2. In Hessen, two similar petitions cannot be put forward within the period of two years on the Land level. 3. The collection of signatures must be approved. First of course, necessary quorum has to be fulfilled and names accepted, then the way in which they have been collected can be put in question. Lists for signatures can't be put in public in whatever way (Degenhart, 1992, p 84). 4. There may be a whole catolog of issues that are not permitted for petition, for example financial matters or changes in constitution (this is for example true for Hessen). Especially common is the condition that the referendum can't be on anything outside the powers of the representative body on the level in question. The proposal is not allowed to break neither the Land nor the federal constitution. 5. In the case of the popular veto, the time to collect necessary signatures can be more or less short. 6. There may be quite a long time during parliament/council can delay a referendum. 7. Parliament or council can also be given a chance to adopt the proposal without the other citizens (other than those signing it) are given a chance to prevent it (no obligatory referendum). This is very common in Germany. One exception is the constitutional petition in Bayern. 8. Finally, all sorts of quorum with very harsh voter turnout conditions or yes/no-vote percentages or even combinations of the two can be used. In Germany, partipation requirements is the rule as opposed to for example in Switzerland. The above could be said to be institutional traps before giving free rein to an at first sight very liberal institution to mean much in reality. While the tradition in Germany usually has been an approval of direct democratic institutions on both Land and commune levels, the battle has many times been fought around what the rules regulating them would be. Generally in Germany, direct democracy is often circumscribed by statutes. 7.2 Some Final Analysis Germany in general isn't exactly the public choice writers' paradise among democratic systems, for example because of the strongholds of interest producer groups and firm agency-politician links. But this fact should make the reforms even more welcome in tying up the "mess". To the extent that the Laender and communes actually have enough discretion to have a real impact on German eonomic life, the country (or certain parts of it) could be considered a giant experiment testing out some of the theories mentioned in this essay. Comparisons between traditionally "more representative" Laender like Nordrhein-Westfalen and Niedersachsen (conditioned they don't change!) and Brandenburg and Sachsen will be increasingly interesting as the new systems stabilise. A thorough economic investigation on Laender basis will then be welcome. But, as mentioned before, comparing economic performance between different systems in the Laender is very difficult since so many divergences of all kinds exist and it's not easy to make heads or tails of them. Grunow says that it is nearly impossible to evaluate the overall performance of local government as a consequence of constitution (1992, p 50). In this essay, I have obviously put on a pair of glasses with a filter emphasising comparison of direct versus traditional representative democracy , when reading texts on German politics. Since Germany is such a mix of the both, this is maybe something that should be done more often than appears to be done in the literature. It seems to be a sometimes overlooked aspect, while I in this essay have magnified it greatly. If the purpose would have been to study German politics in a more general aspect, it would had been too much, but this wasn't the aim. The specific purpose was to study the recent direct democratic trends. I think my outlook helped me find some patterns not usually found, one or them being that the reason the balancing of the communal budgets are more successful in southern Germany than in northern might be the direct popular control of the people rather than the functions of the major. Romer et al (1992), who analysed school budget referenda in New York and Steuenberg (1992) studying institutional arrangements certainly would agree with the restraining effects of direct democracy, which is useful in budget control. This essay has at the same time presented several reservations of such a conclusion but the idea is still interesting. 7.3 Summary and Concluding Remarks There has indeed been a forceful development towards increased use of direct democratic institutions in Germany. The sources of literature seem to agree and a look at the new constitutions is making it even clearer. All eastern German Laender have adopted constitutions with the popular petition having a prominent position. In the constitutional introductory texts, a true belief of the people being part of government is expressed. The main reason of these developments seem to be the peaceful revolutions in East Germany, where a people who once had the power cannot let go of it. Actually, the first system of popular law making was introduced in a western Land, Schleswig-Holstein, but very much possible, inspired by the events in East. There were some extra-ordinary circumstances in that Land after the events of a suicide of the leader of government followed by the change of power in government. The establishment of the Schleswig-Holstein constitution endorced further direct democratic developments on the Land level in western and eastern Germany. But the basis for all the direct democratic tendencies can most likely be found in the Prussian tradition and from the Weimar republic. Taking looks back at different periods of German turbulent history is a recurrent theme in the literature. The impact of participatory traditions are great, but so are all the warning examples. Much discussion appears to be performed in the light of old experiences, even ones from long time back. The trends were very forceful in the beginning of the 90's with bold propositions for Land constitutions, both in Schleswig-Holstein and in eastern Germany. The federal constitution was tried to its limits. Later, the eastern constitutions conformed more and more to the western standards and copied more and more. Yet, the eastern ones are generally very forward and now in the lead of constitutional development. One reason that the East partly has adapted to West is probably the partnerships between Laender in the West and ones in the East. Western advisors have been sent over and talked about the system _they_ are used to. This has been happening both on the commune and Land levels. Also, several propositions for new constitutions have come from the West. On the commune level, some structures of working arrangements still existed that didn't have to be changed, so in some ways, consequences haven't been so great at that level. In comparison to for example the Swiss constitution, all one see in the German one is hurdles limiting popular involvement in government. As presented in this essay, there are many ways of getting control of too excessive popular decision making. Certain kinds of referendum issues can be disallowed and difficult requirements of participation can be set up, making it even less attractive to even start the procedure to collect signatures. This probably explains to a great extent the long time almost slumbering direct democracy in most of Germany. Direct democratic trends are highly visible on the Land level in Germany. On the communal level, there are also trends. Baden- Wuerttemberg is known for its unique model of direct decision making but also in the eastern Laender, there are now notable systems, for example in Brandenburg and Sachsen. In eastern Germany, the direct democracy is leading on the communal level but also important on the Land level. In western Germany, direct democratic trends have not moved as far on the communal level, but there is some activity. The message of many new politic-economic authors is very clear. Many of today's economic problems would be smaller if there wasn't an indirect link between the citizens and the decisions. On financial matters, the direct democracy is therefore especially valuable. In the German constitutions, this has hardly been payed attention to at all, though Schleswig-Holstein is an exception. Instead, popular lawmaking on financial questions has been disallowed. It appears, history has created the foundation for direct democracy in Germany, but it hasn't been of any help when it comes to taking into consideration new ideas of economic advantages that direct democracy can give. Mixing the old with the new looks like a good idea. That is: to mix Rousseau and the new politic-economic thinking. --- Notes 1. DMP (1993, p 411) explains recall as a device existing alongside the "two other methods for producing direct democracy, the initiative and recall ". Steuenberg (1992, p 502) talks about "three forms of citizen influence in representative systems" and then directly refers to Farnham who speaks of "initiative, referendum, and recall". There are many other examples in the literature. 2. In fact, in Blackwell (1987, p 525), "initiative" is referred to _only_ as the coercing form of request of the citizens, quite opposite to the ordinary German use of the term. 3. In connection to the total revision of the Swiss constitution, after the Swiss citizens by petition have requested so, new elections must actually be held (section III, article 120). 4. These points are also similar and correspond individually to Mueller's (1989) three chapters 15-17 on pages 277-347. 5. The day before this essay was finished, there was a Swedish opinion poll, asking people what they thought about the national budget presented by the minister of finance a few days before. This budget was generally considered one of the greatest cuts in public expenditure since the World War II and many interest organisations like for example the national student union were upset. But in the poll of 1000 citizens asked (made by Gallup for the news paper "Svenska Dagbladet"), 13%, thought the cuts just right, 14% thought them too big and 53% thought them too small (Swedish tele-text, Jan 15 1995). 6. Eight initiatives were launched. Two reached referendum. None met the condition of 50% electoral participation (Hernekamp, 1979, p 376). 7. "Multi-level federalism" (Harding et al 1995) 8. On the other hand, SOU 1994 (pp 46-47) described the communal power as _decreasing_. I interpret this as being in a shorter perspective than above. 9. Norton (1994) seems mostly to be talking about western Germany in his Handbook, though I never see him expressively confess that the German section isn't updated in all the places. I don't have that much information about eastern Germany when it comes to the Laender having communal systems similar to the one of Baden-Wuerttemberg's, but I see frequent suggestions in different sources of literature, this is the case. 10. Grunow (1992, p 50) says this is because the situations are so different in all aspects, communal size, demography etc. --- References Blackwell="The Blackwell Encyclopaedia of Political Institutions", 1987; edited by Bogdanor, Vernon; Oxford Blackwell Bohnet, Iris & Frey, Bruno S, 1994; "Direct-Democratic Rules: The Role of Discussion", in Kyklos; vol 47, no 3, pp 341-354 Degenhart, Von Christoph, 1992; "Direkte Demokratie in den Laendern - Impulse fuer das Grundgesetz?", in Der Staat, vol 31, no 1, pp 77-97 DMP="A Dictionary of Modern Politics", sec ed, 1993; edited by Robertson, David, Europa Publications Limited, London Dunleavy, Patrick and O'Leary, Brendan, 1992; "Theories of the State - the Politics of Liberal Democracy"; Macmillan Education Ltd, Hong Kong Eichenberger, Reiner, 1994; "The Benefits of Federalism and the Risk of Overcentralization", in Kyklos; vol 47, no 3, pp 403-420 Fisk, Otis, 1924; "Germany's Constitutions of 1899 and 1919"; Cincinnati, Ohio Fried, Robert C, 1976; "Party and Policy in West German Cities", in The American Political Science Review; vol 70, no 1, pp 11-24 Grunow, Dieter; 1992; "Constitutional Reform of Local Government in Germany: The Case of North Rhine-Westphalia (NRW)", in Local Government Studies; vol 18, no 1, pp 44-58 Haeberle, Peter, 1993; "Die Verfassungsbewegung in den fuenf neuen Bundeslaendern", in Jahrbuch des oeeffentlichen Rechts der Gegenwart, vol 41, pp 69-308 Harding, David, Reulen, Stephanie & Frenzel, Albrecht, 1995; "Legislatures and Regional Administrative Reform in the New German Laender"; not published yet, personal copy Hernekamp, Karl, 1979; "Formen und Verfahren direkter Demokratie"; Frankfurt am Main Hoekstra, Pete, 1994; "Breaking the Congressional Lockgrip: The Case for a National Referendum", in Policy Review; Summer issue Horstmann, Winfried & Schneider, Friedrich, 1994; Deficits, Bailout and Free Riders: Fiscal Elements of a European Constitution, in Kyklos; vol 47, no 3, pp 355-383 Jung, Otmar, 1993; "Juengste plebiszitaere Entwicklungstendenzen in Deutschland auf Lendesebene", in Jahrbuch des oeffentlichen Rechts der Gegenwart, vol 41, pp 29-68 Landtag Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, 1994; "Vorlaeufige Verfassung des Landes Mecklenburg-Vorpommern"; Referat Presse und Oeffentlichkeitsarbeit, Schwerin Lewan, Malte, 1993; "Federalism och integration i en direktdemokrati", Statsvetenskapliga institutionen, Lund MacLean, Iain, 1987; "Public Choice - an introduction"; Billing & Sons Ltd, Worcester Mueller, Dennis C, 1989; "Public Choice II"; Cambridge University Press, Cambridge Norton, Alan & Lim, Hartnolls, 1994; "International Handbook of Local and Regional Government"; Bodmin, Cornwall Romer, Thomas, Rosenthal, Howard & Munley, Vincent G, 1992; "Economic incentives and political institutions: Spending and voting in school budget referenda", in Journal of Public Economics; vol 49, no 1, pp 1-33 Rousseau, Jean Jacques, 1762; "The Social Contract", in The Social Contract - Discourses; London Dent, New York Dutton, 1958 Sloman, John, 1991; "Economics"; Cambridge University Press, Cambridge SOU 1994:2=Svensk Offentlig Utredning 1994:2 appendix; "Kommunsystem i Europa"; Civildepartementet Steuenberg, Bernard, 1992; "Referendum, Initiative, and Veto Power: Budgetary Decision Making in Local Government", in Kyklos; vol 45, no 4, pp 501-529 von Weizsaecker, Robert K, 1992; "Staatsverschuldung und Demokratie", in Kyklos; vol 45, no 1, pp 51-67 --- Appendix See http://www.leo.org/info_muc/WWWother/demap-geo.html